2013-2014 NCAA Team Predictions vs Results: Week 20 (Mar 17-23: 1st two rounds)
Computed Ranks for Week: 3 . 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8 . 9 . 10 . 11 . 12 . 13 . 14 . 15 . 16 . 17 . 18 . 19 . 20 . 21 . 22
Predictions vs Results for Week: 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8 . 9 . 10 . 11 . 12 . 13 . 14 . 15 . 16 . 17 . 18 . 19 . 20 . 21 . 22
| Scores and Standings |
| Week | Right | Games | % Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 273 | 385 | 70.9 |
| 5 | 197 | 301 | 65.4 |
| 6 | 139 | 198 | 70.2 |
| 7 | 210 | 317 | 66.2 |
| 8 | 109 | 151 | 72.2 |
| 9 | 215 | 345 | 62.3 |
| 10 | 202 | 330 | 61.2 |
| 11 | 228 | 329 | 69.3 |
| 12 | 220 | 335 | 65.7 |
| 13 | 204 | 321 | 63.6 |
| 14 | 232 | 332 | 69.9 |
| 15 | 217 | 325 | 66.8 |
| 16 | 228 | 326 | 69.9 |
| 17 | 224 | 337 | 66.5 |
| 18 | 212 | 298 | 71.1 |
| 19 | 125 | 192 | 65.1 |
| 20 | 40 | 52 | 76.9 |
| Total | 3275 | 4874 | 67.2 |
| Predicted Winner | Rank | Pred | Act | Error | Predicted Loser | Rank | Pred | Act | Error | Margin Pred | Margin Act | Margin Error | Winner | Loser | W/L Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany | 223 | 73.9 | 71 | 2.9 | Mount St. Mary's | 247 | 72.3 | 64 | 8.3 | 1.6 | 7 | -5.4 | Albany | Mount St. Mary's | Right! |
| Xavier | 44 | 72.9 | 59 | 13.9 | North Carolina State | 70 | 69.3 | 74 | -4.7 | 3.6 | -15 | 18.6 | North Carolina State | Xavier | Wrong! |
| Cal Poly | 181 | 72.3 | 81 | -8.7 | Texas Southern | 301 | 62.9 | 69 | -6.1 | 9.4 | 12 | -2.6 | Cal Poly | Texas Southern | Right! |
| Iowa | 24 | 75.0 | 65 | 10.0 | Tennessee | 30 | 73.8 | 78 | -4.2 | 1.2 | -13 | 14.2 | Tennessee | Iowa | Wrong! |
| Ohio State | 25 | 68.4 | 59 | 9.4 | Dayton | 68 | 62.8 | 60 | 2.8 | 5.6 | -1 | 6.6 | Dayton | Ohio State | Wrong! |
| Wisconsin | 20 | 70.2 | 75 | -4.8 | American | 179 | 52.0 | 35 | 17.0 | 18.2 | 40 | -21.8 | Wisconsin | American | Right! |
| Pittsburgh | 29 | 70.4 | 77 | -6.6 | Colorado | 47 | 67.7 | 48 | 19.7 | 2.7 | 29 | -26.3 | Pittsburgh | Colorado | Right! |
| Cincinnati | 19 | 62.0 | 57 | 5.0 | Harvard | 52 | 56.9 | 61 | -4.1 | 5.1 | -4 | 9.1 | Harvard | Cincinnati | Wrong! |
| Syracuse | 14 | 71.2 | 77 | -5.8 | Western Michigan | 147 | 55.1 | 53 | 2.1 | 16.1 | 24 | -7.9 | Syracuse | Western Michigan | Right! |
| Oregon | 37 | 84.0 | 87 | -3.0 | Brigham Young | 41 | 83.2 | 68 | 15.2 | 0.8 | 19 | -18.2 | Oregon | Brigham Young | Right! |
| Florida | 5 | 73.8 | 67 | 6.8 | Albany | 223 | 47.0 | 55 | -8.0 | 26.8 | 12 | 14.8 | Florida | Albany | Right! |
| Michigan State | 10 | 85.5 | 93 | -7.5 | Delaware | 124 | 69.4 | 78 | -8.6 | 16.1 | 15 | 1.1 | Michigan State | Delaware | Right! |
| Connecticut | 33 | 69.7 | 89 | -19.3 | Saint Joseph's | 60 | 65.6 | 81 | -15.4 | 4.1 | 8 | -3.9 | Connecticut | Saint Joseph's | Right! |
| Michigan | 11 | 75.9 | 57 | 18.9 | Wofford | 202 | 53.3 | 40 | 13.3 | 22.6 | 17 | 5.6 | Michigan | Wofford | Right! |
| Saint Louis | 49 | 67.1 | 83 | -15.9 | North Carolina State | 70 | 64.5 | 80 | -15.5 | 2.6 | 3 | -0.4 | Saint Louis | North Carolina State | Right! |
| Oklahoma | 21 | 80.5 | 75 | 5.5 | North Dakota State | 75 | 72.9 | 80 | -7.1 | 7.6 | -5 | 12.6 | North Dakota State | Oklahoma | Wrong! |
| Texas | 17 | 76.2 | 87 | -10.8 | Arizona State | 38 | 72.8 | 85 | -12.2 | 3.4 | 2 | 1.4 | Texas | Arizona State | Right! |
| Villanova | 3 | 84.9 | 73 | 11.9 | Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 162 | 62.3 | 53 | 9.3 | 22.6 | 20 | 2.6 | Villanova | Wisconsin-Milwaukee | Right! |
| Louisville | 1 | 82.1 | 71 | 11.1 | Manhattan | 83 | 65.3 | 64 | 1.3 | 16.8 | 7 | 9.8 | Louisville | Manhattan | Right! |
| San Diego State | 36 | 69.9 | 73 | -3.1 | New Mexico State | 105 | 61.2 | 69 | -7.8 | 8.7 | 4 | 4.7 | San Diego State | New Mexico State | Right! |
| Duke | 6 | 78.5 | 71 | 7.5 | Mercer | 102 | 62.4 | 78 | -15.6 | 16.1 | -7 | 23.1 | Mercer | Duke | Wrong! |
| Baylor | 26 | 67.8 | 74 | -6.2 | Nebraska | 48 | 64.5 | 60 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 14 | -10.7 | Baylor | Nebraska | Right! |
| Stanford | 18 | 71.1 | 58 | 13.1 | New Mexico | 45 | 67.1 | 53 | 14.1 | 4.0 | 5 | -1.0 | Stanford | New Mexico | Right! |
| Arizona | 7 | 74.4 | 68 | 6.4 | Weber State | 153 | 54.6 | 59 | -4.4 | 19.8 | 9 | 10.8 | Arizona | Weber State | Right! |
| Tennessee | 30 | 72.5 | 86 | -13.5 | Massachusetts | 64 | 68.0 | 67 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 19 | -14.5 | Tennessee | Massachusetts | Right! |
| Creighton | 9 | 85.3 | 76 | 9.3 | Louisiana-Lafayette | 130 | 68.8 | 66 | 2.8 | 16.5 | 10 | 6.5 | Creighton | Louisiana-Lafayette | Right! |
| Kansas | 2 | 89.9 | 80 | 9.9 | Eastern Kentucky | 185 | 64.1 | 69 | -4.9 | 25.8 | 11 | 14.8 | Kansas | Eastern Kentucky | Right! |
| Oklahoma State | 13 | 73.3 | 77 | -3.7 | Gonzaga | 35 | 69.5 | 85 | -15.5 | 3.8 | -8 | 11.8 | Gonzaga | Oklahoma State | Wrong! |
| Memphis | 28 | 74.9 | 71 | 3.9 | George Washington | 58 | 70.0 | 66 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 5 | -0.1 | Memphis | George Washington | Right! |
| North Carolina | 16 | 79.7 | 79 | 0.7 | Providence | 42 | 75.1 | 77 | -1.9 | 4.6 | 2 | 2.6 | North Carolina | Providence | Right! |
| Wichita State | 23 | 69.9 | 64 | 5.9 | Cal Poly | 181 | 52.2 | 37 | 15.2 | 17.7 | 27 | -9.3 | Wichita State | Cal Poly | Right! |
| Virginia Commonwealth | 31 | 71.4 | 75 | -3.6 | Stephen F. Austin | 113 | 61.2 | 77 | -15.8 | 10.2 | -2 | 12.2 | Stephen F. Austin | Virginia Commonwealth | Wrong! |
| Virginia | 4 | 72.2 | 70 | 2.2 | Coastal Carolina | 209 | 45.7 | 59 | -13.3 | 26.5 | 11 | 15.5 | Virginia | Coastal Carolina | Right! |
| Kentucky | 8 | 69.8 | 56 | 13.8 | Kansas State | 27 | 65.1 | 49 | 16.1 | 4.7 | 7 | -2.3 | Kentucky | Kansas State | Right! |
| Iowa State | 12 | 81.0 | 93 | -12.0 | North Carolina Central | 116 | 66.0 | 75 | -9.0 | 15.0 | 18 | -3.0 | Iowa State | North Carolina Central | Right! |
| UCLA | 15 | 79.8 | 76 | 3.8 | Tulsa | 98 | 68.5 | 59 | 9.5 | 11.3 | 17 | -5.7 | UCLA | Tulsa | Right! |
| Florida | 5 | 67.0 | 61 | 6.0 | Pittsburgh | 29 | 60.1 | 45 | 15.1 | 6.9 | 16 | -9.1 | Florida | Pittsburgh | Right! |
| Louisville | 1 | 72.1 | 66 | 6.1 | Saint Louis | 49 | 59.9 | 51 | 8.9 | 12.2 | 15 | -2.8 | Louisville | Saint Louis | Right! |
| Michigan | 11 | 72.5 | 79 | -6.5 | Texas | 17 | 70.6 | 65 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 14 | -12.1 | Michigan | Texas | Right! |
| San Diego State | 36 | 66.3 | 63 | 3.3 | North Dakota State | 75 | 60.9 | 44 | 16.9 | 5.4 | 19 | -13.6 | San Diego State | North Dakota State | Right! |
| Syracuse | 14 | 67.0 | 53 | 14.0 | Dayton | 68 | 59.1 | 55 | 4.1 | 7.9 | -2 | 9.9 | Dayton | Syracuse | Wrong! |
| Wisconsin | 20 | 74.8 | 85 | -10.2 | Oregon | 37 | 72.2 | 77 | -4.8 | 2.6 | 8 | -5.4 | Wisconsin | Oregon | Right! |
| Michigan State | 10 | 72.5 | 80 | -7.5 | Harvard | 52 | 64.9 | 73 | -8.1 | 7.6 | 7 | 0.6 | Michigan State | Harvard | Right! |
| Villanova | 3 | 73.1 | 65 | 8.1 | Connecticut | 33 | 64.7 | 77 | -12.3 | 8.4 | -12 | 20.4 | Connecticut | Villanova | Wrong! |
| Kansas | 2 | 77.2 | 57 | 20.2 | Stanford | 18 | 70.6 | 60 | 10.6 | 6.6 | -3 | 9.6 | Stanford | Kansas | Wrong! |
| Kentucky | 8 | 72.2 | 78 | -5.8 | Wichita State | 23 | 68.1 | 76 | -7.9 | 4.1 | 2 | 2.1 | Kentucky | Wichita State | Right! |
| Iowa State | 12 | 81.5 | 85 | -3.5 | North Carolina | 16 | 80.3 | 83 | -2.7 | 1.2 | 2 | -0.8 | Iowa State | North Carolina | Right! |
| Tennessee | 30 | 70.2 | 83 | -12.8 | Mercer | 102 | 61.3 | 63 | -1.7 | 8.9 | 20 | -11.1 | Tennessee | Mercer | Right! |
| UCLA | 15 | 78.4 | 77 | 1.4 | Stephen F. Austin | 113 | 65.0 | 60 | 5.0 | 13.4 | 17 | -3.6 | UCLA | Stephen F. Austin | Right! |
| Creighton | 9 | 73.6 | 55 | 18.6 | Baylor | 26 | 69.8 | 85 | -15.2 | 3.8 | -30 | 33.8 | Baylor | Creighton | Wrong! |
| Virginia | 4 | 66.6 | 78 | -11.4 | Memphis | 28 | 59.2 | 60 | -0.8 | 7.4 | 18 | -10.6 | Virginia | Memphis | Right! |
| Arizona | 7 | 65.5 | 84 | -18.5 | Gonzaga | 35 | 58.9 | 61 | -2.1 | 6.6 | 23 | -16.4 | Arizona | Gonzaga | Right! |
Picked 40 winners out of 52 games: 76.9 percent of the right winners